A Foresight Journey – A Glimpse into 2030
Foresight is a bit like time travel. This time, it took us to 2030. The good news? Much positive environmental progress has been made—let us tell you about it and how we got there.
Words by Jessica Mok, Picture by Midjourney
Life in 2030 – A Sustainable Reality
As we enter the year 2030, the world presents a picture of resilience and innovation in the face of environmental challenges. Urban landscapes have undergone a remarkable transformation, with cities embracing eco-friendly initiatives at their core. From vertical gardens adorning skyscrapers to decentralised renewable energy systems, being resource-efficient has become the cornerstone of urban living.
Technological advancements have revolutionised industries, with renewable energy sources like solar and wind dominating the energy sector. Innovative solutions like AI-driven energy management systems and carbon capture technologies have significantly reduced carbon emissions, paving the way for a greener future.
But above all, sustainability has permeated every aspect of society, from consumer choices to corporate strategies. Individuals and businesses have all adopted eco-conscious practices, driving a cultural shift towards environmental responsibility. In this projection of 2030, the journey towards a greener, more resilient world is well underway.
The Resilient Surge Scenario
Central to our vision of 2030 is the Resilient Surge scenario, a testament to the power of collective action and technological innovation in driving positive environmental changes. Despite facing frequent and intense climate events, the world has responded with adaptability and determination. Advanced decarbonisation solutions have accelerated the global shift towards being earth-conscious, propelling humankind towards a future where environmental harmony and economic prosperity go hand in hand.
In this scenario, landmark initiatives such as the Paris Agreement Revision Summit and the establishment of the Green Technology Fund have set the stage for ambitious climate action. Collaboration between governments, corporations, and civil society has led to the development and implementation of cutting-edge technologies, from carbon capture systems to autonomous electric fleets.
Through the Resilient Surge scenario, we envision a world where the challenges of climate change are met with unwavering resolve, driving us towards an ethical and resilient future for generations to come.
Navigating the Future with Scenario Planning
Our journey to 2030 was guided by a methodology rooted in scenario planning and backcasting. Using the STEEP framework – Sociological, Technological, Economical, Environmental, and Political – we analysed key drivers of change and projected their potential impacts on the future of decarbonisation.
Central to our approach was scenario cross-tools, which focused on two key drivers: the severity of climate events and the advancement of decarbonisation solutions. By exploring various combinations of these drivers, we constructed multiple potential futures, each offering unique insights into the challenges and opportunities that lie ahead.
Backcasting, a method that involves projecting future scenarios backwards from a desired future state, allowed us to identify strategic pathways towards our vision of 2030. Through a combination of desk research and expert interviews, we synthesised these insights into a comprehensive foresight analysis, offering stakeholders a glimpse into the possibilities that await on the journey towards decarbonisation.
Exploring Alternative Futures
While the Resilient Surge scenario paints a hopeful picture of the future, it is also essential to consider alternative trajectories. In the Calm Waters scenario, less severe climate challenges and highly effective decarbonisation solutions lead to a smooth transition to sustainability. Conversely, the Drifting Horizon scenario portrays a world where complacency and stagnation hinder progress towards long-term eco goals. In the Tempered Momentum scenario, intense climate events and inadequate decarbonisation solutions pose significant challenges, highlighting the urgent need for coordinated action.
By exploring these alternative futures, we gain a deeper understanding of the complexities and uncertainties inherent in the journey towards decarbonisation.
Charting a Course Towards a Greener Future
Reflecting on our journey to 2030, one thing becomes clear: the path to a greener tomorrow is neither linear nor straightforward. It is marked by challenges and uncertainties, but also by resilience, innovation, and collective action. The scenarios we’ve explored offer glimpses into possible futures, each with its own opportunities and risks.
However, regardless of the path we ultimately take, decisive action to address the urgent challenges of climate change is imperative. By harnessing the power of technology, collaboration, and innovation, we can chart a course towards a sustainable future for all. As we look toward the next decade, let us seize the opportunity to build a world where environmental harmony and economic prosperity are equally important.
In 2030, the journey towards zero-waste will continue, fueled by the collective efforts of individuals, communities, and nations across the globe. United, we can create a future where our planet thrives, and the generations to come can inherit a world worth living in.
Do you wish to gear up your business for a better tomorrow? Feel free to download our detailed foresight study on decarbonisation here or get in touch with us.